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بررسی تاثیر پاندمی کووید - 19 بر عملکرد شرکت های فعال در حوزه پتروشیمی بورس اوراق بهادار تهران | ||
سیاست ها و تحقیقات اقتصادی | ||
دوره 2، شماره 4 - شماره پیاپی 8، اسفند 1402، صفحه 36-69 اصل مقاله (1.57 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22034/jepr.2024.140957.1103 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
محمد پارسا احترامی1؛ خالد احمدزاده* 2؛ بختیار جواهری2 | ||
1دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد علوم اقتصادی، گروه علوم اقتصادی، دانشکده علوم انسانی و اجتماعی، دانشگاه کردستان، سنندج، ایران. | ||
2دانشیار گروه علوم اقتصادی، دانشکده علوم انسانی و اجتماعی، دانشگاه کردستان، سنندج، ایران. | ||
چکیده | ||
کووید – 19 یکی از مهمترین موضوعات حوزه بهداشت عمومی جامعه طی چند دهه اخیر بوده است. یکی از مهمترین بخشهایی که کووید – 19 تاثیرات فراوانی بر آن داشته، بازارهای مالی و بورسهای اوراق بهادار است. هدف پژوهش حاضر بررسی تاثیر پاندمی کووید - 19 بر عملکرد شرکت های فعال در حوزه پتروشیمی بورس اوراق بهادار تهران طی دوره زمانی ماه چهارم 2020 تا ماه هفتم 2023 و با استفاده از مدل خودرگرسیون برداری ساختاری است. از متغیرهای نرخ مرگ و میر کووید – 19 در هر میلیون نفر، نرخ مبتلایان کووید – 19 در هر میلیون نفر، قیمت نفت، قیمت طلا و نرخ ارز استفاده شده است. نتایج این پژوهش حاکی از تاثیر منفی و معنیدار نرخ مرگ و میر و نرخ مبتلایان کووید – 19 بر عملکرد شرکتهای فعال در حوزه پتروشیمی بورس اوراق بهادار تهران است. از طرف دیگر، قیمت نفت و نرخ ارز دارای تاثیر مثبت و معنیدار و قیمت طلا دارای تاثیر منفی و معنیدار بر عملکرد شرکتهای حوزه پتروشیمی بورس تهران است. با توجه به نتایج پژوهش به سیاستگذاران پیشنهاد میگردد که سیاستهای متناسب و جدید در حوزه مقابله با پاندمیهای احتمالی در آینده و تاثیرات این پاندمیها بر اقتصاد کشور اتخاد نمایند. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
پاندمی کووید - 19؛ شرکتهای پتروشیمی بورس؛ مدل خودرگرسیون برداری ساختاری | ||
مراجع | ||
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