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تأثیر پیچیدگی های اقتصادی و ریسک امنیت انرژی برشاخص های کارایی انرژی در ایران | ||
| نشریه سیاست ها و تحقیقات اقتصادی | ||
| دوره 5، شماره 3 - شماره پیاپی 19، مهر 1405، صفحه 1-30 اصل مقاله (1.28 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22034/jepr.2025.144222.1294 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| فاتح حبیبی* 1؛ شلیر ایازی2 | ||
| 1دانشیار، گروه علوم اقتصادی، دانشکده علوم انسانی و اجتماعی، دانشگاه کردستان، سنندج، ایران. | ||
| 2دانشجوی دکتری، گروه علوم اقتصادی، دانشکده علوم انسانی و اجتماعی، دانشگاه کردستان، سنندج، ایران. | ||
| چکیده | ||
| باتوجهبه نقش حیاتی انرژی در توسعه اقتصادی و اهمیت پایداری منابع انرژی، تحلیل عوامل مؤثر بر بهرهوری انرژی از اهمیت بالایی برخوردار است. مقاله حاضر به بررسی تأثیر پیچیدگیهای اقتصادی و ریسک امنیت انرژی بر شاخصهای کارایی انرژی در کشور ایران میپردازد. در این مطالعه، با استفاده از دادههای اقتصاد کلان و شاخصهای مرتبط با امنیت انرژی و پیچیدگی اقتصادی، ارتباط بین این عوامل و بهرهوری انرژی در بازه زمانی 1374-1402 (1995-2023) و با استفاده از روش حداقل مربعات کاملاً اصلاحشده (FMOLS) مورد بررسی قرار گرفته است. یافتههای تحقیق نشان میدهد که پیچیدگی اقتصادی رابطهای مثبت و معنادار با شدت مصرف انرژی و انتشار کربن دارد، به این معنا که افزایش پیچیدگی اقتصادی با افزایش مصرف انرژی و آلایندههای زیستمحیطی همراه است. ازسویدیگر، ریسک امنیت انرژی رابطهای منفی و معنادار با شدت انرژی و رابطهای مثبت و معنادار با انتشار کربن نشان میدهد؛ یعنی با افزایش ریسک امنیت انرژی، شدت مصرف انرژی کاهش مییابد؛ اما انتشار کربن افزایش پیدا میکند. این نتایج نشاندهنده پیچیدگی تعامل بین شاخصهای اقتصادی و عوامل امنیت انرژی است و اهمیت توجه همزمان به این عوامل را برای بهبود بهرهوری انرژی و کاهش آلودگی زیستمحیطی در ایران برجسته میکند. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| پیچیدگی اقتصادی؛ ریسک امنیت انرژی؛ انتشار کربن؛ ایران | ||
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